A recent look at ownership and volatility brings us to a 0.07000 target portfolio weight (as a decimal) for Greencross Limited (ASX:GXL) Target weight is the volatility adjusted recommended stock position size for a position in your portfolio. The maximum target weight is 7% for any given stock. The indicator is based off of the 100 day volatility reading and calculates a target weight accordingly. If a stock has been more volatile of late, the lower the target weight will be. The 3-month volatility stands at 36.864300 (decimal). This is the normal returns and standard deviation of the stock price over three months annualized.
Some dedicated market watchers will preach the old adage, nothing ventured nothing gained. Some may adhere to the slow and steady mindset. The correct play for one investor may not be the same for another. Some may choose to be fully invested while others may keep some cash on the sidelines. Active stock market investors may have to find that perfect balance between being too risky or playing it too safe. If the market keeps charging higher in the second half of the year, investors may have to decide whether to take profits, or let it ride.
50/200 Simple Moving Average Cross
Greencross Limited (ASX:GXL) has a 1.15908 50/200 day moving average cross value. Cross SMA 50/200 (SMA = Simple Moving Average) and is calculated as follows:
Cross SMA 50/200 = 50 day moving average / 200day moving average. If the Cross SMA 50/200 value is greater than 1, it tell us that the 50 day moving average is above the 200 day moving average (golden cross), indicating an upward moving share price.
On the other hand if the Cross SMA 50/200 value is less than 1, this shows that the 50 day moving average is below the 200 day moving average (a death cross), and tells us that share prices has fallen recently and may continue to do so.
Returns and Margins
Taking look at some key returns and margins data we can note the following:
Greencross Limited (ASX:GXL) has Return on Invested Capital of 0.258547, with a 5-year average of 0.280310 and an ROIC quality score of 8.427864. Why is ROIC important? It’s one of the most fundamental metrics in determining the value of a given stock. It helps potential investors determine if the firm is using it’s invested capital to return profits.
Investors may be searching high and low in the market to find some bargain stocks to add to the portfolio. Finding those great stocks at cheap prices may take a lot of research and dedication. Many investors will opt to compare stocks in the same industry. This may be a good way to help determine which ones are poised to stand out above the rest. As we move into the second half of the year, all eyes will be watching the major economic reports. If the data continues to impress, the stock market may continue to cruise along without many hiccups. Careful investors will no doubt be combing through specific company data to make sure the fundamentals are in line as well. Following company fundamentals and stock technicals may help create a wider frame of reference to work with.
Greencross Limited (ASX:GXL) of the Food Producers sector closed the recent session at 5.510000 with a market value of $482064.
In looking at some Debt ratios, Greencross Limited (ASX:GXL) has a debt to equity ratio of 0.64812 and a Free Cash Flow to Debt ratio of 0.066287. This ratio provides insight as to how high the firm’s total debt is compared to its free cash flow generated. In terms of Net Debt to EBIT, that ratio stands at 4.36145. This ratio reveals how easily a company is able to pay interest and capital on its net outstanding debt. The lower the ratio the better as that indicates that the company is able to meet its interest and capital payments. Lastly we’ll take note of the Net Debt to Market Value ratio. Greencross Limited’s ND to MV current stands at 0.404215. This ratio is calculated as follows: Net debt (Total debt minus Cash ) / Market value of the company.
Drilling down into some additional key near-term indicators we note that the Capex to PPE ratio stands at 0.211624 for Greencross Limited (ASX:GXL). The Capex to PPE ratio shows you how capital intensive a company is. Stocks with an increasing (year over year) ratio may be moving to be more capital intensive and often underperform the market. Higher Capex also often means lower Free Cash Flow (Operating cash flow – Capex) generation and lower dividends as companies don’t have the cash to pay dividends if they are investing more in the business.
There are many factors that may influence stock price action. One of the most influential factors is company earnings. Company earnings reports can be extremely important for investors. Earnings reports have the ability to let investors know how well or poorly a company has been performing. Investors may try to capitalize on trading around earnings announcements. This can be a very tricky venture and may be quite risky. Studying stock price movements around earnings reports can sometimes be confusing. Often times a company will post better than expected numbers but the stock will drop in price. On the other side, shares may see a bounce even after disappointing results. Analysts try to project what numbers the company will post, but they may not be accurate for a variety of reasons. Following analyst estimates around earnings reports may be helpful, but it may be wise to proceed with caution if only going on what the analysts are saying.
In addition to Capex to PPE we can look at Cash Flow to Capex. This ration compares a stock’s operating cash flow to its capital expenditure and can identify if a firm can generate enough cash to meet investment needs. Investors are looking for a ratio greater than one, which indicates that the firm can meet that need. Comparing to other firms in the same industry is relevant for this ratio. Greencross Limited (ASX:GXL)’s Cash Flow to Capex stands at 1.464870.
Near-Term Growth Drilldown
Now we’ll take a look at some key growth data as decimals. One year cash flow growth ratio is calculated on a trailing 12 months basis and is a one year percentage growth of a firm’s cash flow from operations. This number stands at -0.12501 for Greencross Limited (ASX:GXL). The one year Growth EBIT ratio stands at -0.21916 and is a calculation of one year growth in earnings before interest and taxes. The one year EBITDA growth number stands at -0.13929 which is calculated similarly to EBIT Growth with just the addition of amortization.
Taking even a further look we note that the 1 year Free Cash Flow (FCF) Growth is at -0.08474. The one year growth in Net Profit after Tax is -0.50881 and lastly sales growth was 0.07463.
Successful traders and investors often learn how to develop disciplined strategies. Trading strategies can range from very simple to highly complex. Whatever the strategy choice, investors who stay the course may have a better chance of coming out a winner in the stock market. Traders may try to avoid getting trapped into a sour situation. Being able to stomach some losses along the way may not be easy, but it may help sustain profits in the long run. Making the best possible decision is typically what many investors attempt to accomplish. Often times, it may take some bad trades to get to the good ones. Combining the study of company fundamentals with technical stock charts may lead to increased overall knowledge about a particular name. Technical analysts will often be following price action tick by tick with the hopes of capitalizing on a defined trend.